Energy Price Cap rises 4% to £1,723 from 1 October
Ofgem's cap goes up £60 a year from October, driven by gas. Around 11 million households on fixed deals are unaffected
Ofgem's Energy Price Cap rises on 1 October. A typical dual-fuel household paying by direct debit will pay £1,723 a year for the October to December period, up 4% or £60 from the £1,663 cap that ran from July. The rise is almost entirely down to gas: the gas element of the cap is up about 8%, while electricity is up by less than 1%. The new figure already includes the effect of the VAT cut on electricity that starts on the same day.
Why gas is driving the rise
The conflict in the Middle East has pushed up wholesale oil and gas prices through the summer, and the cap tracks those wholesale costs with a lag. Electricity was spared most of the rise because VAT on domestic electricity drops from 5% to 0% on 1 October, which offsets the higher wholesale cost on that side of the bill.
The cap is not a limit on your total bill. It caps the unit rate and the standing charge. The £1,723 figure is what a household with typical usage would pay across a full year at the new rates.
Who is affected
Anyone on a standard variable tariff, which is most people who have not actively chosen a fixed deal, will see their unit rates change from 1 October. If you pay by direct debit, your supplier may adjust your monthly amount in the coming weeks. Check that any change is in line with a 4% rise and query it if it is not.
Around 35% of households are on fixed tariffs. Their unit rates are locked until the fix ends, so the October rise does not touch them. The one thing that does change for them is the electricity VAT cut, which suppliers must pass on even on fixed deals.
What it means for you
If you are on the capped tariff, take a meter reading on or just before 1 October so your usage before and after the change is billed at the right rates. Smart meter customers do not need to.
A fix priced below the October cap can give you certainty through the winter. Check a comparison site for today's rates and look at exit fees before you commit.
If you are on means-tested benefits, the £150 Warm Home Discount for winter 2026/27 is now automatic for most eligible households.